Norwegian hydropower is the most cost-efficient source of energy that Germany could adopt as back-up for solar cells and wind-power, new calculations show.
“Germany has installed a great deal of solar and wind-power in its energy system. So much, in fact, that the country will soon need better access to generation sources that can be switched in rapidly when the sun disappears or the wind doesn’t blow,” says Magnus Korpås, scientific advisor in SINTEF and professor at NTNU. Together with colleagues from SINTEF, he has calculated what it would cost to meet Germany’s needs for backup power – or “balance power” as the experts call it.
The scientists calculated the costs of two competing solutions.
Germany could either build rapid start-up gas-fired power stations that can be quickly switched on and off to deal with peak loads – or use Norwegian hydropower as a “battery” by importing power from Norway when it is in short supply in Germany and later send back surplus power that can pump water back up into Norwegian reservoirs (see fact-sheets).
These are currently the two most likely alternative solutions.
“It is not certain what the price of natural gas and CO2 emissions in Europe will be in the future. But for most of the combinations of assumptions that we used in our calculations, importing Norwegian hydropower would be cheaper than local gas-fired electricity generation. In the central scenario, the cost differential would be 40 – 50 øre per kilowatt hour in Norway’s favour,” says Korpås.
New subsea cables
Pumped storage power stations
- These are a special type of hydropower station. During periods when surplus power is available on the grid they drive electric motors that pump water from a lower reservoir or a lake back up to a higher reservoir.
- They are used to store energy during periods of surplus power availability. They exist either as adjuncts to normal hydropower stations or as independent units, in some cases with two artificial reservoirs.
- Norway already has a small number of pumped-storage power stations, whose main purpose is seasonal pumping of energy from summer until winter, which enables large amounts of precipitation to be exploited. In the rest of the world, such station are mostly used for peak-period generation – the water is pumped up at night and used to generate electricity during the day.
“Our conclusions are also valid for the export of balance power to the Netherlands and the UK, two nations that are going in for wind-power. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), Europe needs 100 GW of new peak energy to ensure the continuity of its energy supplies. Norwegian hydropower could meet at least a quarter of this need,“ says Korpås.
For Europe, balance power from Norwegian hydropower plants would mean that this part of the world would have access to a completely green “battery”.
On the Norwegian side of the equation, this country will receive an increased income by providing power when it is most needed, which is expected to be far greater than the costs of buying back power and pumping water back up into its reservoirs. Increased power capacity in hydro plants would also have a large value in themselves, no matter whether new pumps are built or not.
Pumped storage plants
Supplying balance power from Norway would require a number of investments.
Staying within the regulations
- The point of departure for the SINTEF/NTNU calculations was a pilot study performed by Norway’s CEDREN research centre, which is staffed by scientists from SINTEF, NTNU and NINA (Norwegian Institute for Water Research).
- CEDREN concluded that Norway could supply balance power continuously for several weeks without coming into conflict with current regulations concerning water levels in the reservoirs involved.
- The pilot study looked at 12 power stations in southern Norway. CEDREN assumed that new power stations and tunnels would need to be built, and that seven power stations should have reversible turbines installed. The pilot study also assumed that supplying balance power would not conflict with electricity generation for the domestic market.
For pumping of this sort to be made available to a sufficient extent, tunnels would have to be bored between reservoirs that are not linked at present. New subsea power cables to the Continent would be needed, and the Norwegian national grid would have to be strengthened.
All of these factors have been taken into account in the calculations, and Norwegian hydropower would still be the least expensive option, say the SINTEF/NTNU scientists.
Batteries may be on the way
Korpås emphasises that in the course of time, new energy-storage technologies will emerge, and that these can be competitive with hydro-based balance power.
“In theory, it is perfectly possible to meet much of the need for back-up power in solar and wind-power countries by storing electricity in batteries or by converting it to hydrogen. But at present, such methods would be far too expensive. Nor are these technologies sufficiently mature yet, although there is plenty of room here for improvement, so much can change in the future. However, Germany will need to increase its balance-power capacity fairly soon, which means that either importing hydropower or gas-fired generation will be the most likely alternatives.”
Norway’s special position
- Norway is the only hydropower nation that is capable of meeting much of Europe’s growing need for balance power without major environmental interventions.
- Switzerland, Austria and France have already exploited much of their pumped-storage potential.
- Turkey and certain countries in southeast Europe still have major prospects of contributing balance power in the form of pumped-storage power.
- Although Sweden is also a “hydropower nation”, many of its hydropower stations lie in the far north of the country. The cost of installing new grid capacity to the south would therefore be too high for Sweden to be able to help the Continent and the UK with back-up power to any great extent. In any case, Sweden’s total reservoir capacity is only 34 TWh, as against Norway’s 84 TWh.